The great big bang of the automobile began since this weekend, and do not know where to stop his mad. "Surgical" bankruptcy, Angel buyers, Governments relieved: should all believe in miracles The crisis has not yet produced its collateral damage, and given the high number of car manufacturers already liquidated in the past in less difficult periods, other output road are indeed to be feared.
How believe, beyond voluntarism of Barack Obama, the miracle of the rescue of GM. Elimé up to the rope, the argument of the patriotic burst takes. Why us customers would suddenly buy these cars they have scorned so far, output of strings in a constructor having destroyed 120,000 jobs in the United States since 2000, which gets rid without denies its dealers and which increasingly relocating to the Mexico, or even China At the same time, Toyota does not stop to create new plants in the United States, and can also legitimately claim the benefits of the "buy American". Now nationalized, more by accident into that by choice of industrial policy, how GM is close of its new shareholder In this industry where shots to play the world, the "task force" Washington well not to do evil will pass Michigan interests before those of other regions of the world. Chevrolet, Buick and GMC brands do new, before even the rescue of the Group of Detroit, is bad why the new public ownership would now become a selling point.

How credible to the rescue of Chrysler under the wing of Fiat As the latter does not a penny in the operation. With its Dodge, Chrysler and Jeep brands, the Auburn Hills group has lost his forces, sending many of its engineers since the divorce from Daimler, and its plans for future lines are empty. His Turin's rescuer is aware that it will need much more than two years to adapt its engines to the American lines. Is much more time than it takes for a liquidation, if the U.S. automotive market resumes not. In addition, Fiat is not really a generalist, but rather a small car specialist, in Europe and the Brazil. Affublés models of the pejorative nickname of "econoboxes" by the big three in Detroit, and still weighing on the US market. If the price of gasoline pumped up first place again, the local client instead tend to turn to the hybrids... a technology that is missing in the Fiat range.
How believe the Canadian-Russian miracle about the Opel record. Main pilot of the operation, the automotive supplier Magna International is certainly fourth global player in its class, but has never drawn a car from A to Z, merely to make in Austria on behalf of third parties. Difficult in these conditions, to anticipate the trends of the customer, to launch projects for many years in advance. With respect to the Russian ally, the gas manufacturer, heavily in debt as its shareholder, the oligarch Oleg Deripaska, this is not him who will in Opel billion that GM was able to invest in its European branch. In terms of generation capacities in Russia, the American has a plant in St. Petersburg, which could return to Opel brand thrive in this growing market. Without resorting to the producer of the Volga significantly more dilapidated facilities.
With the support of GM, Opel could fit into a large system of sharing of platforms around the world (a platform for many brands of the Group) and thus achieve certain economies of scale. With the constructor of Nizhny Novgorod, much smaller than AvtoVAZ (Lada), allied to Renault, this perspective breaks down. In addition, the new shareholders of Opel-Vauxhall will have to sacrifice European factories, to choose between the Germany, the Belgium, the Spain or Great Britain, with each time a game of political influence to repel the closures in the country side. "The purchasers will all try and then fail, and Opel will be bankrupt within two or three years", prognostic German analyst of NordLB. The history is likely to give him reason.